The Fed Express!

The Fed Express!

Tuesday 24 September 2013

Golden era? What golden era?

WARNING: This blog may contain a great deal of ranting..ness (that is now a word), impetuous remarks and a delectable scoop of hyperbole!

A "golden era". Such a nonsensical, hypothetical term that has been ratcheted up and adored by the media who seek to espouse this roll your eyes saying in unhealthy quantities. Recently the term has been bandied around like a grubby, overused handkerchief in Football, F1 racing but predominantly this term has become synonymous with Tennis.
The Big Four

Before I embark on my line of argument I must assert my fairly dogmatic and entrenched stance on this hazy, falsifiable topic.
I do not really believe any era to be golden and I do not believe that you can prove indefinitely that one era is golden. For instance strengths in one area, i.e. the dominant top four of today who have won 23 of the past 24 slams dating back to 2008, may mean a relative lack of strength in another, i.e. a weaker chasing pack unable to dismantle the top 4's bastion in tandem with a paucity of precocious youngsters bursting onto the scene as was seen in yesteryear.
In addition is 2013 really a golden era? Federer has dropped to his lowest ranking in a decade, Nadal is very injury prone and Murray and Djokovic suffer from prolonged spates of inconsistency outside slams. What is so golden about that?

In subsequent years gone by, there has also been a very strong pool of players at the summit of the rankings. In the 70's there was Borg, Connors, Newcombe, Rosewall, Vilas and Ashe; In the 80's there was McEnroe, Lendl, Wilander, Edberg and Becker and in the 90's Sampras, Agassi, Courier, Kuerten and Rafter ruled the roost and all boast similar Grand Slam totals to today's total. Can they not be seen as golden?

Tennis greats!
So does this mean that an era is judged by the strength of a dominating top four where the chasing pack are a vast distance away from the precipice of top four success or is an era judged by the relative strength or lack of it in the top 20 where the main contenders continue to waltz to the titles relatively unscathed?

If a 39-year-old Jimmy Connors can reach the US Open semi finals or the unseeded duo of Chris Lewis and Malivai Washington reach the final of Wimbledon in 1993 and 1996 respectively does that make that tournament, year or era weak?
Andy Murray, despite modest Grand Slam performances in 2009 (4th round, quarter final, semi final), became world number two merely on the back of strong masters 1000 showings, an injury to Rafael Nadal and a dip in form of Djokovic. Does that also mean this was a weak slam/year/era?

In the 90's the stark difference between the the four Grand Slams resembled a decathlete performing the long jump, the 1500m, the shot put and the pole vault, whereas nowadays the Sahara Arctic contrast is replaced by repeating the same 400m event four times over.
Unfortunately this surface homogenisation may have led to a skillset homogenisation as serve and volleying, chip charging and low margin attacking tennis is almost defunct and redundant; a stance also held by former Wimbledon champion Pat Cash.
"The guy who outlasts the other one wins. It's taken a lot of the skill out of tennis. Modern players don't dive around the net, deliver backhand smashes, twist and turn like past generations."

Cash, often fond of controversial, against the grain statements, does have a point. The 21st century greats don't have to contend with net rushers or many players with a lot of variety. They play in an era where racket and string technology has advanced to levels where players can hit ridiculous passing shot winners from way outside the court, something beyond the realms of possibility in the 80's and 90's.

Today's dominance is illustrated by Federer, Nadal and Djokovic who have won three of the four slams in a calendar year for five of the previous nine years, compared to a meagre two in the past thirty four years. Evidence of a golden era or conditions greatly favoring those most adept at thriving under the present conditions?

This dependence on ultra fit super human athletes that can play gruelling marathon like matches for 5 hours plus - it is no coincidence that the top four players possess herculean fitness and defensive skills far superior to the rest of the field - is having an adverse effect on the ability for youngsters to make an impact on the game.
Youngsters, who rarely make it into the second week of Grand slams and are quite a way off the top 10, are now deemed "young" if they are between the 20-23 category, whereas in decades gone by Grand Slam Champions were all teenagers: Boris Becker (17), Mats Wilander (17), Bjorn Borg (18), Sampras (19) and Nadal (19).
Mats Wilander, Roger Federer and Andre Agassi's fitness trainer Gil Reyes are "seriously worried" about the worrying dearth of young up and coming tennis talent (no teenagers in the top 200) and "don't see any obvious candidates for a future Grand Slam champion."

Where are all the youngsters?
With record high numbers of tennis participants, the pool of talent is most certainly there but highly talented juniors, such as Grigor Dimitrov now 22, cannot compete with 8-10 year conditioned, ascetically primed athletes and conditions that encourage physical and not as much shot making development.
"I think it takes bigger stronger athletes, which is what is out there. But it takes time for them to develop. You have your aberrations: Murray, Del Potro, Rafa etc, but not many." - Federer's former coach Paul Annacone.

Furthermore the prize money at challenger and future level events has stagnated which makes it harder for young players to continue the demanding tennis lifestyle that requires a large support ensemble in order to reach the highest echelons of tennis.
Is this good for the sport's future? This attritional style could increase the likelihood of injury and shorten players careers.

Court slowdown
Perhaps if there was a broader diversity of surfaces we would see a wider distribution of slams as a greater range of styles would be required.
Then again if the current top four did sweep the slams as per usual, THAT would be the true test of their "golden era" credentials, but until that day of variety comes we cannot truly and accurately determine if an era is golden; something the British media in particular won't understand or accept for sure.

9 comments:

  1. 2018 is going to be burn out time for the top 3 players.

    To win any major now is a huge effort and the wear and tear is going to be phenomenal by that time, imo. I'm not sure the Nadals even will make it beyond 2018 without either further surgery or more manicured attendances at the least amount of events.

    Its not their fault but a product of the ever increasing pressure to be fitter, quicker and more explosive than the guys ahead of you. Its possible, the returns are great but the dangers and threat to their health are too.

    In all of this is the ever present ranking system which should be viewed as a separate country to who wins majors. More so than ever, its actually possible to be No1 and not win a major, although the new domination of Nadal will make that practically impossible for the next two years, but its not a good indicator of who is the best, just who is more consistent.

    Which brings me to your "Golden Era" point. And this is where hindsight can be a good thing. Rose tints and dewy eyes all provide the necessary mechanics to produce these memorials to past great players and it is something I don't mind in the least, its difficult to say that this era is golden, as it hasn't ended yet, but for me as a Murray man mostly, its Yellow at least and the longer it goes on, the more patina it will glean and I'm sure by the end it will be golden in colour, but I'm prejudiced in the occupational hazard area being an Andy fan, but generally these things are ten years apart, decades if you will, and to me each era has its merits, is one more golden than the next or previous era ?, I think that's down to how old you are and what sport meant to you at a younger age, because that defined many of us and our appreciation of sportsmen and women.

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  2. I for one cannot take another 4-5 seasons more of this lung tennis and I really hope that others surpass them instead of they burn out themselves.

    I just crave some variety! Vary ball sizes, court speeds and bounces in order to encourage a vast array of styles instead of this identikit WTA heading tennis we are embarking upon.

    Very true, it really is so subjective and depends on who you support and how you really like your tennis, objectivity is hard to come by and it is so open to debate with all this "era" talk, a very tenebrous area indeed.

    Good post and thanks for the comment.

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  3. Maybe the trend will level out as and when the different courts go back to their historical relevance and then we see more particular court experts become apparent, but the continuous mission to outlast your opponent must reach its limit, hopefully, and they will have to resort to guile more than stamina at some point.

    There are moments of complete boredom watching modern tennis, its become very much a battle of attrition these days but we have seen some amazing athletic stunts when trying to get the ball back from seemingly impossible angles and lengths in rallies, so I see your point about the lungsters and it is a worryling trend, but somewhere, lurking in the wings will surface a player who can beat the muscle guys with better skills and talents.

    Federer did that and so did Sampras to a degree, but there must come a point where physical endurance, strength and fitness meet the bodies limit before injury and ill health begin to become common ailments. I think we are very near that limit, and if players can remain clean of PEDS, then the playfield will level out and skills will be a larger part of a players arsenal.

    Hopefully then, tennis will become a spectator sport to the masses who want to watch other players on court than their favoured one. But for me, Golden Age represents the Murray era for a Murray fan when tennis became interesting for a change, albeit a biased one.

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  4. The way tennis is heading (aided by PEDS imo), a mesomorph type mo farah could be ruling the roost. Perhaps limiting frame sizes could help but I doubt they will go to those lengths as tech is always evolving.

    The un-tennis educated masses adore this type of tennis. They are more taken in by incredible retrievals 10 feet behind and wide of the baseline rather than an inside out single handed backhand, which is a great shame.

    Each to their own i guess.

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  5. I don't think the turf could withstand an Arnie prancing about the place LOL.

    I guess in the future, long distant I hope, we could end up with PED fuelled turbo charged individuals who's life expectancy is akin to medieval rates, with prizemoney and incentives to blow your mind away, but we'd be in a dystopian world where the rich are in luxury and the poor are just worker ants, with nothing in between.

    Cue the rolling title of Soylent Green.

    With luck I'd be long gone by then, but I can see how you envisage the birth of this kind of tennis as epitomised by the workload and training ethos of modern players.

    If PEDs are being used, then there is a massive coverup, its something I'd be afraid to consider as the implications are frightening, and its not like this has never happened before. I am suspicious and there are players who look to good to be running around for ages, day after day without any seeming effects on stamina, but I am no expert and I'm optimistic enough to believe that the authorities are kosha, but I'm not 100% certain that every one is squeeky clean and that the sport is free of PEDs at the very top of the game.

    Suffice to say, in time we will find out, so until then I'll have to ride the rollercoaster of belief and try to find something positive about modern tennis that doesn't involve conjecture and conspiracy and maybe discover there are more honest athletes than there are cheats, and tread water in the lake of Murray's tribulations.

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  6. I am about to write a blog on "why we will never win the war on drugs in sport".
    Stay tuned for an in depth, clarity type thing article!

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  7. Excellent stuff. Makes you think about Golden ages in everything really...
    Mind you, Is a golden age to one, a dark age to another?

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  8. Thanks mate. Very true. See paragraph 3, lines 9-12 ;)

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